Work/Technology 2050 : Scenarios and Actions
lundi 30 décembre 2019
The Millennium Project has the background and network of experts around the world, eager to explore some of the most important long-range issues and strategies of our time with more solution specificity than previous studies.
Why this study by The Millennium Project
This year, The Millennium Project’s 50 Nodes around the world have rated “addressing the future of work and income gaps” as a top priority for its research program.
Considering its worldwide network of futurists, non-partisan, inter-disciplinary, and transinstitution character, The Millennium Project has a unique advantage in conducting such a study.
Abstracts of the three Scenarios
2050 Scenario 1 : It’s Complicated – A Mixed Bag. A business-as-usual trend projection of the increasing acceleration of change with both intelligence and stupidity characterized decisionmaking. Irregular adoption of advance technology ; high unemployment where governments did not create long-range strategies, and mixed success on the use of universal basic income. Giant corporation’s powers have often grown beyond government control, in this government-corporate, virtual-3D, multi-polar world of 2050.
2050 Scenario 2 : Political/Economic Turmoil – Future Despair. Governments did not anticipate the impacts of artificial general intelligence and had no strategies in place as unemployment exploded in the 2030s leaving the world of 2050 in political turmoil. Social polarism and political grid-lock in many forms have grown. Global order has deteriorated into a combination of nation-states, mega-corporations, local militias, terrorism, and organized crime.
Scenario 3 : If Humans Were Free – the Self-Actualization Economy. Governments did anticipate the impacts of artificial general intelligence, conducted extensive research on how to phase in universal basic income systems, and promoted self-employment. Artists, media moguls, and entertainers helped to foster cultural change from an employment culture to a self-actualization economy.
To discover the report : http://www.millennium-project.org/p...
The Millennium Project has already conducted an initial review of existing studies on these issues. Also, it has been tracking the question “How can ethical market economies be encouraged to help reduce the gap between rich and poor” in its annual State of the Future reports for the past 18 years, and continually updates this research online in the Global Futures Intelligence System (www.themp.org).
In 2009, it conducted an international assessment of 35 factors that might influence the emergence of the next economic system (e.g., non-ownership like the Internet ; simultaneity of information generation and reception worldwide ; synthetic biology ; new forms of wealth measures and Internet-based self-employment).